Delhi - Flood riskYamuna basin scopeNo known public hazard map - external monitoring only

Delhi flood risk

Delhi's flood risk is barrage-release-driven with a 36-72 hour fuse: water released at Hathnikund (Haryana) takes two to three days to reach the Old Railway Bridge gauge, where 204.50 m means warning, 205.33 m danger, and 206.00 m evacuation. Only ~7% of the floodplain length is embanked, and the 2018 Drainage Master Plan that was meant to fix internal drainage remains largely on paper.

Dam-release threshold for downtown inundation
~100,000cusecs

The first flood warning is issued when Hathnikund barrage discharge crosses ~1,00,000 cusecs (Flood Control Order 2026). The July 2023 record showed the thresholds can fail conservative: the river hit 208.66 m - 1.17 m above the 1978 record - at releases the CWC's own post-mortem called moderate, with the ITO barrage's jammed gates deepening the flooding in central Delhi.

Recent flood events - 7

2025September 2025 monsoon spell with very high Hathnikund discharge

A July-2023-like flood spell repeated within two years - evacuations along the floodplain and renewed questions about why 2023's lessons had not changed outcomes (SANDRP's analysis is the sharpest public account).

SANDRP - Sept 2025 repeat flood analysis
2023Record 153 mm July rainfall + sustained Hathnikund releases; ITO barrage gates 1, 2 and 5 jammed shut

Yamuna peaked at 208.66 m on 13 July - highest since records began in 1963, breaking 1978's 207.49 m. Ring Road, Civil Lines, ITO and Rajghat inundated; ~27,000 evacuated. CWC's case study is the official post-mortem.

CWC - Delhi Floods 2023 case study
2013Mid-June upper-basin downpour - an unusually early-season Hathnikund surge

207.32 m at the Old Railway Bridge - the highest level between 1978 and 2023 (the comparison every 2023 report reached for). Floodplain settlements evacuated; an early-monsoon warning the 2023 post-mortems would cite.

The Tribune (2023 all-time-high report with historical levels)
2010Sustained September flows in a strong-monsoon year, weeks before the Commonwealth Games

Annual peak discharge ~3,466 cumecs at the Delhi Railway Bridge (the CWC's model-calibration flood). The river flooded the low floodplain beside the Games-readied embankments, putting the Games Village's floodplain siting into the national argument it has stayed in since.

CWC case study (annual peak-discharge table; 2010 calibration event)
1995September peak releases from Tajewala (pre-Hathnikund barrage)

Annual peak discharge ~7,028 cumecs - the largest flow between 1978 and 2023 in the CWC's series. Trans-Yamuna colonies flooded; with 1988 it pushed the embankment-extension debate.

CWC case study (annual peak-discharge table)
1988Late-September basin-wide rain - the sharpest late-80s surge

Annual peak discharge ~5,642 cumecs; large evacuations from the floodplain and trans-Yamuna. With 1995 it defines the high-flow band the river revisited for three decades before 2023 broke the level record outright.

CWC case study (annual peak-discharge table)
1978Peak monsoon flows in the undammed upper Yamuna (pre-Tehri era)

The benchmark flood: 207.49 m at the Old Railway Bridge, a record that stood 45 years until 2023. Model city planning still references the 1978 flood line.

CWC case study (historical benchmark section)

What we don't have (Delhi)

  • No public real-time Hathnikund release feed - the 36-72 h lead-time signal exists only in news reports and alerts (highest-leverage RTI target)
  • No public flood model or inundation forecast for Delhi (no iFLOWS/CFM-DSS equivalent)
  • No public hotspot inventory with geometry; NRSC's 2023 satellite inundation maps sit behind a NICNET-only portal
  • The internal-drainage story (waterlogging) has no live data: 11 agencies, no unified drain-condition feed

Chennai's flood-risk page renders modeled hazard zones, 2015/2020 hotspots, drainage and sewerage overlays - none of which exist publicly for this city. This page surfaces what's actually available rather than papering over the gap with synthetic data.